Raising taxes to reduce smoking prevalence in the US: A simulation of the anticipated health and economic impacts.

Raising taxes to reduce smoking prevalence in the US: A simulation of the anticipated health and economic impacts. Research Abstract Details 

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Raising taxes to reduce smoking prevalence in the US: A simulation of the anticipated health and economic impacts. Abstract Text:

Sajjad Ahmad,Gregor A Franz,

OBJECTIVE: To estimate health and economic outcomes of raising the excise taxes on cigarettes. METHODS: We use a dynamic computer simulation model to estimate health and economic impacts of raising taxes on cigarettes (up to 100% price increase) for the entire population of the USA over 20 years. We also perform sensitivity analysis on price elasticity. RESULTS: A 40% tax-induced cigarette price increase would reduce smoking prevalence from 21% in 2004 to 15.2% in 2025 with large gains in cumulative life years (7 million) and quality adjusted life years (13 million) over 20 years. Total tax revenue will increase by $365 billion in that span, and total smoking-related medical costs would drop by $317 billion, resulting in total savings of $682 billion. These benefits increase greatly with larger tax increases, and tax revenues continue to rise even as smoking prevalence falls. CONCLUSIONS: Increasing taxes on cigarettes is a unique policy intervention that reduces smoking prevalence, generates additional tax revenue, and results in significant savings in medical care costs.

Raising taxes to reduce smoking prevalence in the US: A simulation of the anticipated health and economic impacts. Publishing Authors By Initials

S Ahmad,GA Franz,

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Raising taxes to reduce smoking prevalence in the US: A simulation of the anticipated health and economic impacts. Journal Published:

PUBLICATION TYPE: Journal Article

Journal: Public health

VOLUME: 122

Page Numbers: 3-10

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ISSN: 0033-3506

DAY: 3

MONTH: 07

YEAR: 2007

Raising taxes to reduce smoking prevalence in the US: A simulation of the anticipated health and economic impacts. Information

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LANGUAGE: eng

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AFFILIATION: Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Nevada, 4505 Maryland Parkway, Las Vegas, NV 89154-4015, USA.

Country: England

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MEDLINETA: Public Health

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