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Quantifying the risk from ovine BSE and the impact of control strategies.

Quantifying the risk from ovine BSE and the impact of control strategies. Research Abstract Details 

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  • Quantifying the risk from ovine BSE and the impact of control strategies. Abstract Text:

    helen r fryerHelen R Fryer,matthew baylisMatthew Baylis,kumar sivamKumar Sivam,angela r mcleanAngela R McLean,helen r fryerHelen R Fryer,matthew baylisMatthew Baylis,kumar sivamKumar Sivam,angela r mcleanAngela R McLean,

    Although no naturally infected sheep with bovine spongiform encephalopathy (BSE) has ever been discovered, it remains possible that BSE once infected the UK sheep population, has been transmitted between sheep, and is still present today. We constructed a mathematical model to assess the current maximum theoretical exposure to consumers from BSE-infected ovine material and to estimate the risk reduction that could be achieved by abattoir-based control options if BSE-infected sheep were ever found in the national flock. We predict that, if present, the exposure to consumers from a single BSE-infected sheep would be high: one sheep, close to the end of its incubation period, is likely to contribute 10-1000 times more infectious material than a fully infectious cow. Furthermore, 30% of this exposure comes from infectivity residing in lymphatic and peripheral tissue that cannot be completely removed from a carcass.We are 95% confident that throughout Great Britain, no more than four sheep flocks currently harbour an ongoing BSE epidemic. However, since the exposure from a single infected sheep is high, the annual human exposure from four 'typical' BSE-infected flocks could be considerable. Small reductions in exposure could be achieved by strategies based on tissue testing, a 12-month age restriction or expanded definitions of high-risk tissues. A six-month age restriction is likely to be more effective and genotype-based strategies the most effective.

    Quantifying the risk from ovine BSE and the impact of control strategies. Publishing Authors By Initials

    hr fryerHR Fryer,m baylisM Baylis,k sivamK Sivam,ar mcleanAR McLean,hr fryerHR Fryer,m baylisM Baylis,k sivamK Sivam,ar mcleanAR McLean,

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    Quantifying the risk from ovine BSE and the impact of control strategies. Journal Published:

    PUBLICATION TYPE: Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov

    Journal: Proceedings. Biological sciences / The Royal Socie

    VOLUME: 274

    Page Numbers: 1497-503

    Journal Abbreviation:

    ISSN: 0962-8452

    DAY: 22

    MONTH: Jun

    YEAR: 2007

    Quantifying the risk from ovine BSE and the impact of control strategies. Information

    Number of References:

    LANGUAGE: eng

    NlmUniqueID: 101245157

    Quantifying the risk from ovine BSE and the impact of control strategies. Keywords Mesh Terms:

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    Grant and Affiliation Information for Quantifying the risk from ovine BSE and the impact of control strategies.

    AFFILIATION: Institute for Emergent Infections of Humans, James Martin 21st Century School, Department of Zoology, Oxford University, South Parks Road, Oxford OX1 3PS, UK. helen.fryer@zoo.ox.ac.uk

    Country: England

    England Research PublicationEngland Research Publication

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    MEDLINETA: Proc Biol Sci

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