[Forecasting of prevalence of cardio-vascular pathology in children population]

[Forecasting of prevalence of cardio-vascular pathology in children population] Research Abstract Details 

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[Forecasting of prevalence of cardio-vascular pathology in children population] Abstract Text:

D V Shutov,O E Konovalov,

Statistical modeling and forecasting of morbidity, disability and mortality of circulatory system diseases and congenital anomalies in children of Ryazan oblast was organized. Procedures of expotential smoothing and determination of statistical significance power of predicted values were applied. Application of expotential smoothing models with linear trend enables reliable forecasting of morbidity of circulatory system diseases and congenital anomalies in children. In Ryazan oblast, disability and mortality of children has higher variance which prevent to apply reliable forecasting. Increase in morbidity and disability rate of circulatory system diseases and congenital anomalies and widening of dispensary group is detected. Predicted increasing of morbidity rate of cardiovascular pathology in children and widening of corresponding dispensary group requires enhanced capacity of medical care supported by according financing.

[Forecasting of prevalence of cardio-vascular pathology in children population] Publishing Authors By Initials

DV Shutov,OE Konovalov,

For similar investigative techniques: epidemiologic methods: data collection: vital statistics: mortality: survival rate research abstracts see: investigative techniques: epidemiologic methods: data collection: vital statistics: mortality: survival rate research

PUBMED ID PMID:

MEDLINE DATE: 2005 May-Jun

[Forecasting of prevalence of cardio-vascular pathology in children population] Journal Published:

PUBLICATION TYPE: Journal Article

Journal: Problemy sot?sial?no? gigieny, zdravookhranenii?a

VOLUME:

Page Numbers: 22-6

Journal Abbreviation:

ISSN: 0869-866X

DAY: 21

MONTH: 02

YEAR: 2008

[Forecasting of prevalence of cardio-vascular pathology in children population] Information

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LANGUAGE: rus

NlmUniqueID: 101270373

[Forecasting of prevalence of cardio-vascular pathology in children population] Keywords Mesh Terms:

KEYWORDS: Survival Rate

MESH TERMS: trends

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Country: Russia (Federation)

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MEDLINETA: Probl Sotsialnoi Gig Zdravookh

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